The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway in 6 pm ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 gambling odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) aren’t too far behind in what’s going to be the greatest race of the year.
Nick Giffen uses his statistical model to disability that the four greatest futures betting values from the race.
For the second consecutive weekend, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing in Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). However, this time instead of an All-Star shootout, drivers are in for a grueling 600 miles in the Cup Series’ longest race of this year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oblong with a relatively old surface which has been repaved back in 2006. We saw in the All-Star race that tires failed to make a difference and that track position was also extremely significant, therefore this race should offer a great mix of multiple 1.5-mile tracks.
The latest 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race at Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five at average green-flag rate all showed up at the top nine in 15-lap speed in Happy Hour, regardless of the race being at nighttime and final practice throughout the day.
We’ve got a similar scenario at Charlotte this weekend, so I will surely rely on long-run speed along with 1.5-mile performance this season and past Charlotte oval performance when handicapping the race.
Equipped with all these data points, let’s get right into my favorite bets to win tonight’s race, also bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A fast primer on the chances under: A $100 bet at +375 odds would profit $375, while a $200 bet at -200 chances would cover $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Acquire
Kyle Busch is the favorite thanks to his outstanding rate in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this season. But, it might be argued that Harvick should be a co-favorite despite finishing only 13th on the 10-lap plank in closing practice.
That is because in opening practice, he had been much better relative to the remainder of the area over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time during the cooler temperatures is encouraging. Actually, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers stated the cars are extremely sensitive to monitor changes, and that they were really good in opening practice during the warmer temperatures.
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